Subjective Probability: the Only Kind Possible

di

Paolo Manca

goWare

Subjective Probability: the Only Kind Possible - Bookrepublic

Subjective Probability: the Only Kind Possible

di

Paolo Manca

goWare

FORMATO

Nessuna protezione

DISPOSITIVI SUPPORTATI

computer

e-reader/kobo

ios

android

kindle

€ 4,99

Descrizione

In the context of a non-deterministic view of the world, probability is a number which reflects the degree of confidence someone has that a given statement or event is true, based on the information they have. Probability and probability calculus, on the other hand, are essential tools for those who wish to recognise uncertainty and manage it responsibly. This presentation of subjective probability (the only one possible) will enable even those who are not experts to acquire the correct knowledge of an instrument which is essential and necessary for dealing with the world around us. The text takes only one hour to read, but it will help you to avoid many mistakes and enable you to understand the origin of those you might have made in the past. The reader will also be able to appreciate many funny examples and paradoxes such as this one: statistics tell us that 20% of motorway car accidents are caused by drivers with high blood alcohol levels. It can then be derived that 80% of accidents are caused by sober drivers. Therefore, we should supply alcohol to those who drive on motorways!

Dettagli

Dimensioni del file

2,2 MB

Lingua

eng

Anno

2017

Isbn

9788867978342

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